ACUS11 KWNS 241752
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241752
MEZ000-242015-

Mesoscale Discussion 2114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Areas affected...northern Maine

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 241752Z - 242015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts and
marginally severe hail appear possible this afternoon into evening.
A watch is currently not expected.

DISCUSSION...Ahead of a vigorous vorticity maximum centered over the
Champlain Valley, visible satellite imagery indicates deepening
cumulus across the discussion area amidst a warming and
destabilizing air mass with around 500 J/kg of MLCAPE. Eventual
thunderstorm development is expected later this afternoon as height falls/cooling aloft overspread the warming boundary layer,
contributing to further air mass destabilization. The kinematic
environment features strong mid/upper-level winds, resulting in
long, straight hodographs supportive of splitting supercells with an
associated hail risk. Isolated damaging wind gusts also appear
possible owing to the steepening low-level lapse rates across the
region, which will enhance evaporative cooling in the sub-cloud
layer.

..Mead/Smith.. 08/24/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!8HtZCt4a0MxjsHEl0B7yDOUe1bOsMlY4uYI67jemMyZH2CwFDu7tQ5FWJZmqfh92X4tTeu3OKq_LU-zjziyZteS-XBc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

LAT...LON 45467106 47446963 47736870 47486768 46866764 45666891
44967003 44617055 44707100 45467106

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.
--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)